Rückblick Trading News 30. März bis 13. April 2020

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Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.0936

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

– Overall open interest on the CALL options and PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 64789 contracts (according to data from April, 9) with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,1200 (3211);

Resistance levels (open interest**, contracts)

Price at time of writing this review: $1.2475

Support levels (open interest**, contracts):

– Overall open interest on the CALL options with the expiration date May, 8 is 13642 c ontracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2600 (948);

– Overall open interest on the PUT options with the expiration date May, 8 is 15560 c ontracts, with the maximum number of contracts with strike price $1,2850 (1073);

– The ratio of PUT/CALL was 1.14 versus 1.13 from the previous trading day according to data from April, 9

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* – The Chicago Mercantile Exchange bulletin (CME) is used for the calculation.

** – Open interest takes into account the total number of option contracts that are open at the moment.

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Forex Analysis: 13 Apr 2020, 10:33 UTC+00

Vereinfachte Wellenanalyse für den 13. April 2020. EUR/USD, AUD/USD, GBP/JPY

Die Aufwärtswelle vom 20. März ist die jüngste Welle auf dem Chart. In ihrer Struktur sind erste zwei Teile (A-B) dargestellt. Die am 9. April gestartete Korrektur entwickelt sich in Form der ausgedehnten Ebene.

Heute kann man mit dem Schluss der Korrektur und dem Anfang der Preissteigerung rechnen. Der kurzfristige Durchbruch der Untergrenze von Unterstützungszone ist nicht ausgeschlossen. Es ist höchstwahrscheinlich, dass die letzte Phase zum Ende des Tages startet.

Die Short-Positionen sind heute nicht empfehlenswert, da es risikoreich ist. Man muss auf Signale zu Long-Positione zu achten.

Die am 19. März gestartete Aufwärtswelle erreichte die Untergrenze der starken möglichen Wendezone vom großen Timeframe. Es gibt keine Umkehrsignale auf dem Chart.

Der Druck auf der Widerstandszone wird heute erwartet. Am Vormittag ist die Seitwärtsbewegung möglich. Mit der Erhöhung der Volatilität kann man während der amerikanischen Session rechnen.

Der Intraday-Handel ist heute empfehlenswert. Das Wachstumspotenzial ist fast erschöpft, sodass es empfohlen ist, mögliche Preiswende bei der Eröffnung der Long-Positionen zu berücksichtigen. Keine Bedingungen für Short-Positionen sind gebildet.

Die am 18. März gestartete Preissteigerung gehört zum Wochenchart. Der Preis bewegt sich zum nächsten Zielbereich, dessen Untergrenze im Bereich vom 138. Preismuster liegt. Der Preis erreichte den Zwischenwiderstand.

Heute wird die Seitwärtsbewegung zwischen gegenüberliegenden Zonen erwartet. Der Preisrückgang ist nach dem Versuch des Drucks auf dem Widerstand möglich.

Der Intrasession-Handels ist heute empfehlenswert. Bevor die aktuelle Korrektur geschlossen wird, sind kurzfristige Short-Positionen ab der Widerstandszone möglich. Es ist empfohlen, Signale zu Long-Positionen im Bereich der Unterstützung zu verfolgen.

Erläuterungen zu den Figuren: bei der vereinfachten Wellenanalyse werden die Wellen verwendet, die aus drei Teilen (A – B – C) bestehen. Es wird immer die letzte unvollständige Welle analysiert. Die Pfeile zeigen die Wellenmarkierung nach der Methode des Autors an. Der einfarbige Hintergrund ist die gebildete Struktur, während die gestrichelten Linien für die erwarteten Bewegungen stehen.

Hinweis: der Wellenalgorithmus berücksichtigt die Dauer der Bewegung nicht.

Performed by
analytical expert: Isabel Clark InstaForex Group © 2007-2020

Published: 13 Apr 2020, 10:33 UTC+00

Recommend: Forex Analytics
AUDUSD hält über aufsteigende Trendlinie
13 Apr 2020, 09:26 UTC+00
Betrachtet heute 2048
NZD/CAD nähert sich dem Widerstand, ein Rückgang ist möglich!
13 Apr 2020, 08:55 UTC+00
Betrachtet heute 2178
GBP/USD IPDA 60-Tage-Bereich für den 13. April 2020
13 Apr 2020, 08:25 UTC+00
Betrachtet heute 2113
EUR/USD IPDA 60-Tage-Bereich für den 13. April 2020
13 Apr 2020, 07:23 UTC+00
Betrachtet heute 1765
Handelsplan für den 13. April 2020 EUR/USD
13 Apr 2020, 07:35 UTC+00
Betrachtet heute 2160

Monday, 13 April 2020

The Visitor Arrivals released by the Statistics New Zealand measures the number of visitors to New Zealand. As the tourism industry dominates a large part of the total GDP, the visitor arrivals is an important indicator of the overall economic condition in New Zealand.

Time Country Indices Period Previous Reading Forecast Actual Reading Importance
22:45

Tuesday, 14 April 2020

A survey of the current state of the business sector in Australia . Based on a survey of hundreds of small and large sized companies, the National Australia Bank delivers monthly comprehensive quarterly reports.

This comprehensive survey primarily provides insight into the state of the Australian economy and puts forth leading indicators that signal its future direction. Thus the survey’s findings, if unexpected, have the power to move markets directly.

The National Australia Bank releases both a monthly and quarterly report. The quarterly report is more comprehensive, surveying around 1000 small to large non-farm firms. The quarterly report provides greater detail on the data as well as a short to mid-term outlook of Australia . Because of seasonal volatility and government protections the survey only excludes the farm sector.

Time Country Indices Period Previous Reading Forecast Actual Reading Importance
01:30 Import price index Mar -0.5% m/m; -1.2% y/y -3.1% m/m; -4.6% y/y

This index reflects import price change per month.

James Bullard is the chief executive officer and 12th president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, positions he has held since 2008. He is currently serving a term that began on March 1, 2020. In 2020, he was named the 7th most influential economist in the world.

Charles L. Evans is the ninth President and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. In that capacity, he serves on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the Federal Reserve System’s monetary policy-making body.

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic – FOMC voting member 2020. Federal Reserve FOMC members vote on where to set the nation’s key interest rates and their public engagements are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.

Measures the price change of food and food services purchased by households. Higher food prices can result in economic slowdown because less disposable income will be used for non-food expenditures. Higher food prices can also result in inflation and signal future monetary action.

Higher domestic food prices may also suggest higher food prices internationally. New Zealand ’s economy is largely based on producing and exporting agricultural goods and food products. Therefore, the Food Price Index can reflect demand for New Zealand products and for the New Zealand dollar. A higher reading may suggest a strengthening of the Dollar as foreigners pay relatively more for New Zealand ’s exports.

The headline number is the percentage change in the index from the previous month.

Weekly News 13.04.2020–17.04.2020

Introducing the most complete review of the upcoming week from analysts Olymp Trade

This week’s events of interest include the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision, a report on GDP in China, and the OPEC Monthly Report.

Major Events on the Economic Calendar

  • April 13 is Easter Monday – a public holiday observed in many countries.
  • The Bank of Canada will release its interest rate decision on April 15.
  • Australia releases the report on employment change on April 16.
  • China releases data on the country’s Q1 GDP for 2020 on April 17.

April 13. Tesla Economizes on Employees

Tesla announced 10-30% pay cuts for the employees, and some of the workers will be furloughed without any pay. Against the background of the global crisis caused by the spread of COVID-19, the corporation is redirecting resources from development to maintaining its financial stability.

April 14. ASEAN Discusses Measures to Combat COVID-19

ASEAN leaders will participate in a teleconference on combating the spread of coronavirus in Southeast Asia. Representatives of Japan, China and South Korea may join the event. It is known that the countries are planning to create a special fund, a stock of medicines, as well as a public medical network.

April 15. China Begins to Stimulate Business

The People’s Bank of China will cut the reserve requirement ratio for small and medium-sized banks. This will enable them to release more funds for lending to the real economy, which is awakening after the quarantine. The second stimulus move is scheduled for May 15.

April 16. OPEC Report

OPEC will publish its monthly Oil Market Report. This time, the data provided by organization of the petroleum exporting countries is unlikely to be optimistic: the volume of oil consumption is declining and its reserves are actively growing.

The last two reports on crude oil reserves showed record increases of 13 million and 15 million barrels respectively.

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